Evaluating Earthquake Resilience through a Quantitative Decision-Support Index: An ND-GAIN-Based Assessment of China’s Vulnerability and Preparedness

Authors

  • Guoqu Deng Business School, Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang，Henan, 471000, China
  • Dandan Dong Business School, Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang，Henan, 471000, China
  • Panpan Liu Business School, Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang，Henan, 471000, China
  • Fatima Osimewun Abbas Business School, Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang，Henan, 471000, China

Keywords:

Earthquake Prevention and Disaster Reduction Capability; ND-GAIN Evaluation Model; The Vulnerability of Disaster-Prone Bodies; The Degree of Preparedness; Index Research

Abstract

A quantitative decision-support framework was established to improve the scientific robustness and precision of resource allocation for earthquake prevention and disaster reduction. Based on the Notre Dame Global Adaptation Index (ND-GAIN) model, the framework systematically evaluates China’s Earthquake Disaster Prevention and Reduction Capability Index (CEDPRCI) from two principal dimensions: the vulnerability of disaster-prone bodies and their preparedness. By integrating these dimensions, the framework provides a model-based basis for formulating differentiated prevention and reduction strategies. The results show that, despite temporal fluctuations and notable gains towards the end of the study period, China’s earthquake prevention and disaster reduction capability remained at a lower-middle level between 2014 and 2023. Infrastructure vulnerability constituted the dominant factor influencing the vulnerability of disaster-prone bodies, while preparedness in terms of social and economic capital played a particularly important role in strengthening overall earthquake prevention and disaster reduction capability. Regional and provincial capabilities improved over time; however, pronounced spatial disparities persisted. Comparatively stronger capabilities were generally observed in the eastern region, whereas the northern region displayed weaker performance. At the provincial scale, Sichuan and Shandong exhibited relatively high capabilities, while Ningxia and Jilin remained among the provinces with comparatively limited capabilities.

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References

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Published

2026-06-30

How to Cite

Guoqu Deng, Dandan Dong, Panpan Liu, & Fatima Osimewun Abbas. (2026). Evaluating Earthquake Resilience through a Quantitative Decision-Support Index: An ND-GAIN-Based Assessment of China’s Vulnerability and Preparedness. Decision Making: Applications in Management and Engineering, 9(1), 468–496. Retrieved from https://www.dmame-journal.org/index.php/dmame/article/view/1865

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Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): Decision Making: Applications in Management and Engineering

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Regular articles

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